Reply To: The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
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University: Northeastern University
At first sight of the recommendation, it seems reasonable that Balmer can reduce the number of moped accidents by limiting the number of rental mopeds with the example of Seaville. However, the recommendation relies on a series of logical flaws. In order to establish the recommendation better, some questions need to be addressed.
First, are the moped accidents serious problems in Balmer? Perhaps, it was only four moped accidents which happened in Balmer last year, and people who involved in accidents just got slightly hurt. Taking one step further, moped accidents are serious problems in Balmer. It sounds quite astonishing that the population will increase to 100000 during the summer months, but it does not tell us the raw number of visitors. If only 100 visitors travel to the Balmer, there would be few rental moped accidents. Without answering the question above, there is unsound to reduce the number of rental mopeds.
Second, should all the rental mopeds be blamed for moped accidents? Are there no locals riding mopeds? Maybe the local mopeds are the main factors in most of accidents, and the rental mopeds could be victims. In order to make the recommendation more convincing, the editor should provide the number of local mopeds.
Third, can the editor ensure that halving the number of mopeds would halve the number of accidents? Is there any strong connection between the number of rental mopeds and the number of accidents. If after launching the law, there would be more accidents, because the locals think the roads are safer enough to driving around. We need to more reliable information to ensure the roads will be safer after launching the law.
Finally, is Balmer and Seaville similar? Perhaps, Balmer is a popular visit place which attracts thousands of visitors during the summer months, and Seaville is only a small seaside village with bad transport. As a result of this, it is imprudent to expect that the limit on the number of rental mopeds can have the same effect on Balmer. Allowing the Balmer and Seaville have analogous natural and traffic condition, is the limit the only factor attributed to the decrease of the accidents? Maybe Seaville’s government also launched the speed limit on mopeds and gave traffic education to moped drivers and pedestrians. Without knowing the specific condition between Balmer and Seaville, we can not have a more adroit conclusion.
In short, the editor should address the questions above to establish the recommendation better. We can not have a prudent conclusion without more reliable information about Balmer and Seaville.