The following appeared in a memo to the board of directors of a company that specializes in the delivery of heating oil. “Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating.

The following appeared in a memo to the board of directors of a company that specializes in the delivery of heating oil. “Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating.

The contents in a memo to the board of directors of a company that specializes in the delivery of oil anticipated that most homes in the northeastern United States will experience increased demand for heating oil during the next five years. However, the contents in a memo must answer the following questions to strengthen the position.

The memo mentions that last heating season that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several years. However, the results of climate forecasters are based on what sort of information. If the information providers have a bachelor degree, it is likely to be lame analytic data, otherwise, the results of the climate forecaster are provided by a master or PH.D degree. It must be a high chance for reliability and credibility. The precise qualifications in weather forecasting ought to be presented so as to strengthen the position, or the board of directors of the company is too challenging to believe the indicator above.

Even if the forecaster indicates that the climate will decrease for several years, It does not mean that the residents who live in northeastern United States choose heat oil to generate energy. Given that residents might prefer to utilize electric facilities for heating, electric facilities are probably much more affordable than heating oil. In addition, recent population growth is not based on any information background or analytic data. We do not obtain exact information to realize what percentage of populations living in northeastern United States increased. Perhaps the rising population is not a considerable number, thus, there is not a great deal of demand for heating oil. What if the board of directors of a company readily believe the content in this memo, they are likely to encounter a high-risky situation.

In light of these recent trends, the contents mention that this region will experience increased demand for heating oil during the next five years. It is extremely hard to say that in the next five years high-end technology will improve the efficiency of heating oil, and the technology of heating oil might be superseded by other more efficient inventions. Besides, dwellers living in this region might move to other places, and experience pandemic in the next five years as well. Human beings live in this unstable generation that we cannot predict what will happen every single day, as a result, It are so many variations in the future that we could not assert that these phenomena are bound to occur.